Build a House scenario

The map starts with the current member’s party by district number. The two vacant seats remain toss-ups. The 2026 map may use changed district boundaries, so colors follow the current roster’s district labels. Roster checked September 26, 2026 against the House Clerk’s member list and vacancy list.

House now
218 R – 214 D – 1 I
2 seats vacant of 435
For control
218
A majority of the 435 voting seats
Democrats’ net gain needed
4
To reach 218 seats
Seats up
All 435
Every voting seat, every two years

Selected districts to follow

Current seat holders, not 2026 nominees. 9 of these 12 are Republican-held.

DistrictCurrently held byPartyIn the seat since
CA-22
David Valadao
Republican2021
NY-17
Mike Lawler
Republican2023
WA-03
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Democratic2023
NE-02
Don Bacon
Republican2017
VA-02
Jen Kiggans
Republican2023
PA-01
Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican2017
PA-07
Ryan Mackenzie
Republican2025
PA-10
Scott Perry
Republican2013
IA-01
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Republican2021
CO-08
Gabe Evans
Republican2025
NY-04
Laura Gillen
Democratic2025
ME-02
Jared Golden
Democratic2019

These are current officeholders, not 2026 match-ups. The district selection is editorial and is not an official rating or an exhaustive battleground list. Some sitting members will not be on the ballot. Sabato’s Crystal Ball’s overall House outlook says the Democrats favoured on a small battlefield.

Seats needed for a majority

With all 435 seats filled, 218 seats are a majority. Democrats currently hold 214 and need a net gain of 4 to reach that number. Republicans hold 218. The Clerk lists two vacancies, so the membership can change when special-election winners take office.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many seats are needed to control the House?

218 of 435. As of September 26, 2026, Republicans hold 218, Democrats hold 214, one seat is held by an independent, and 2 seats are vacant. Republicans are at the 218-seat threshold.

Are all House seats up in 2026?

Yes. All 435 voting seats are elected every two years, which is why the House can change hands in a single night while the Senate turns over a third at a time.

Why are there no ratings or percentages next to each district?

This page does not publish a district-level rating or probability. The table is a selected set of districts and their current seat holders, not a complete ballot or numerical ranking. Polymarket has a House-control market, but no market for individual districts.

Can I share a map I have built?

Yes. Open the full interactive map, assign the districts, and use the Share button for a link or embed code.

Sources and methodology

The map is a scenario builder, not a forecast. The table shows 12 selected districts and the people currently holding those seats; it is not a complete list of 2026 nominees or an official ratings table. House-control odds come from Polymarket. Current membership and vacancies are checked against the House Clerk.

Source references reviewed . Live market panels show their own read time; check state election offices for certified candidate lists and results.

Control percentages are live Polymarket prices carrying the time they were read, not a forecast produced by this site. The seat counts are a September 26, 2026 snapshot from the House Clerk’s member and vacancy records; they can change after a special election or a member’s departure.