Election News
Where the markets moved
Every race we track, ranked by how far its price shifted over the last 7 days. The rest of this site shows where each race stands; this is the part that changed.
Prices read 24 Sep 2026, 02:52 UTC.
Texas governor moved 9.0 points toward the Democrats
The Democratic contract went from 16.5% to 25.5%.
16 races repriced
Moves of at least 1 point. 19 other races held steady.
- +9.0Texas governorDemocratic contract 16.5% → 25.5% · toward the Democrats
- +8.0Florida governorDemocratic contract 19.5% → 27.5% · toward the Democrats
- +6.0Iowa governorDemocratic contract 77% → 83% · toward the Democrats
- +5.5Ohio governorDemocratic contract 55% → 60.5% · toward the Democrats
- +5.0Nevada governorDemocratic contract 45.5% → 50.5% · toward the Democrats
- −3.0Kansas governorDemocratic contract 32.5% → 29.5% · toward the Republicans
- +3.0New Mexico governorDemocratic contract 92.5% → 95.5% · toward the Democrats
- −2.3Alabama governorDemocratic contract 8.4% → 6.1% · toward the Republicans
- −2.2Vermont governorDemocratic contract 8.3% → 6.1% · toward the Republicans
- +2.02028 presidencyDemocratic contract 64.5% → 66.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.5New York governorDemocratic contract 93.5% → 95% · toward the Democrats
- −1.3New Hampshire governorDemocratic contract 10.9% → 9.6% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Arizona governorDemocratic contract 87.5% → 88.5% · toward the Democrats
- −1.0Georgia governorDemocratic contract 56.5% → 55.5% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Oklahoma governorDemocratic contract 6.5% → 7.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Wisconsin governorDemocratic contract 83.5% → 84.5% · toward the Democrats
How this is built
Each race is tracked through its Democratic contract on Polymarket. The number is that contract’s price now minus its price at the start of the window, in percentage points, so a positive figure means the market moved toward the Democrats and a negative one toward the Republicans.
One side is quoted rather than both on purpose. The two parties trade as separate contracts, so combining them into a single margin would produce a number neither of them states. The sign carries the direction instead.
Nothing here is written or forecast. It is two prices and a subtraction, refreshed from Polymarket rather than stored, so it is current whenever you load it.