Election News
Where the markets moved
Every race we track, ranked by how far its price shifted over the last 24 hours. The rest of this site shows where each race stands; this is the part that changed.
Prices read 25 Sep 2026, 06:10 UTC.
Vermont governor moved 11.4 points toward the Democrats
The Democratic contract went from 6.1% to 17.5%.
6 races repriced
Moves of at least 1 point. 29 other races held steady.
- +11.4Vermont governorDemocratic contract 6.1% → 17.5% · toward the Democrats
- −5.0Florida governorDemocratic contract 27.5% → 22.5% · toward the Republicans
- −2.0Kansas governorDemocratic contract 29.5% → 27.5% · toward the Republicans
- −1.5Iowa governorDemocratic contract 83% → 81.5% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Ohio governorDemocratic contract 61.5% → 62.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Texas governorDemocratic contract 25.5% → 26.5% · toward the Democrats
How this is built
Each race is tracked through its Democratic contract on Polymarket. The number is that contract’s price now minus its price at the start of the window, in percentage points, so a positive figure means the market moved toward the Democrats and a negative one toward the Republicans.
One side is quoted rather than both on purpose. The two parties trade as separate contracts, so combining them into a single margin would produce a number neither of them states. The sign carries the direction instead.
Nothing here is written or forecast. It is two prices and a subtraction, refreshed from Polymarket rather than stored, so it is current whenever you load it.