Reported results map

Select a state to see its winner. Tan marks uncalled races; gray states had no election. Choose “Customize scenario” to edit the map, then “Reset to results” to restore the reported calls. View all 35 race results.

Entering Election Day
53 R · 45 D · 2 I
Both independents caucus with the Democrats
For control
51
At 50-50 the Vice President breaks ties
Seats up
35
33 Class 2 seats, plus Florida and Ohio specials
Republicans defending
22 of 35
The Democrats defend the other 13

Pre-election race ratings (archive)

A selected set of contests; ratings follow Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Safe seats are left out.

SeatCandidatePartyStandingRating
GA
Jon Ossoff
DemocraticIncumbent holds the seat since 2021Likely
GA
Mike Collins
RepublicanChallenger U.S. RepresentativeLikely
ME
Susan Collins
RepublicanIncumbent holds the seat since 1997Toss-Up
NC Open
Roy Cooper
DemocraticChallenger Former governorLean
NC Open
Michael Whatley
RepublicanChallenger Former RNC chairLean
IA Open
Ashley Hinson
RepublicanChallenger U.S. RepresentativeToss-Up
IA Open
Josh Turek
DemocraticChallenger State representativeToss-Up
MI Open
Abdul El-Sayed
DemocraticChallenger Former Detroit health directorToss-Up
MI Open
Mike Rogers
RepublicanChallenger Former U.S. RepresentativeToss-Up
NH Open
Chris Pappas
DemocraticChallenger U.S. RepresentativeLean
NH Open
John E. Sununu
RepublicanChallenger Former U.S. SenatorLean
OH
Jon Husted
RepublicanIncumbent holds the seat since 2025Toss-Up
OH
Sherrod Brown
DemocraticChallenger Former U.S. SenatorToss-Up
AK
Dan Sullivan
RepublicanIncumbent holds the seat since 2015Toss-Up
AK
Mary Peltola
DemocraticChallenger Former U.S. RepresentativeToss-Up
KS
Roger Marshall
RepublicanIncumbent holds the seat since 2021Likely
KS
Adam Hamilton
DemocraticChallenger PastorLikely
Safe
Likely
Lean
Tilt
Toss-Up

A seat marked Open is one where neither candidate currently holds it. Ratings are a judgement about how safe a seat looks, not a probability, so no percentage is attached to them.

Why the map is lopsided

The Republicans hold 22 of the 35 seats being contested against the Democrats’ 13, so almost every competitive race is one they are defending rather than attacking. Holding all 22 keeps the Senate at 53–47; losing three of them takes it to 50–50, where the Vice President still decides.

All 35 Senate seats on the 2026 ballot

The tracker covers 33 regular Class II seats and special elections in Florida and Ohio. Primary dates follow the Federal Voting Assistance Program’s 2026 calendar; all listed primaries and runoffs have passed as of September 26, 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The state links are the official source for certified nominees, candidate withdrawals and results.

The seat list follows the U.S. Senate’s 2026 election roster and Class II list. Primary dates can change; confirm current ballot information with the state election office.

Showing 35 of 35 contests FVAP 2026 primary calendar
StateCurrent incumbentPartySeat typePrimary / runoff datePrimary statusOfficial state source
Alabama (AL)Tommy TubervilleRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 19, 2026 Runoff: June 16, 2026HeldState election office
Alaska (AK)Dan SullivanRepublicanRegular Class IIAugust 18, 2026 HeldState election office
Arkansas (AR)Tom CottonRepublicanRegular Class IIMarch 3, 2026 Runoff: March 31, 2026HeldState election office
Colorado (CO)John HickenlooperDemocraticRegular Class IIJune 30, 2026 HeldState election office
Delaware (DE)Chris CoonsDemocraticRegular Class IISeptember 15, 2026 HeldState election office
Florida (FL)Ashley Moody (appointed)RepublicanSpecialAugust 18, 2026 HeldState election office
Georgia (GA)Jon OssoffDemocraticRegular Class IIMay 19, 2026 Runoff: June 16, 2026HeldState election office
Idaho (ID)Jim RischRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 19, 2026 HeldState election office
Illinois (IL)Dick DurbinDemocraticRegular Class IIMarch 17, 2026 HeldState election office
Iowa (IA)Joni ErnstRepublicanRegular Class IIJune 2, 2026 HeldState election office
Kansas (KS)Roger MarshallRepublicanRegular Class IIAugust 4, 2026 HeldState election office
Kentucky (KY)Mitch McConnellRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 19, 2026 HeldState election office
Louisiana (LA)Bill CassidyRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 16, 2026 Runoff: June 27, 2026HeldState election office
Maine (ME)Susan CollinsRepublicanRegular Class IIJune 9, 2026 HeldState election office
Massachusetts (MA)Ed MarkeyDemocraticRegular Class IISeptember 1, 2026 HeldState election office
Michigan (MI)Gary PetersDemocraticRegular Class IIAugust 4, 2026 HeldState election office
Minnesota (MN)Tina SmithDemocraticRegular Class IIAugust 11, 2026 HeldState election office
Mississippi (MS)Cindy Hyde-SmithRepublicanRegular Class IIMarch 10, 2026 Runoff: April 7, 2026HeldState election office
Montana (MT)Steve DainesRepublicanRegular Class IIJune 2, 2026 HeldState election office
Nebraska (NE)Pete RickettsRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 12, 2026 HeldState election office
New Hampshire (NH)Jeanne ShaheenDemocraticRegular Class IISeptember 8, 2026 HeldState election office
New Jersey (NJ)Cory BookerDemocraticRegular Class IIJune 2, 2026 HeldState election office
New Mexico (NM)Ben Ray LujánDemocraticRegular Class IIJune 2, 2026 HeldState election office
North Carolina (NC)Thom TillisRepublicanRegular Class IIMarch 3, 2026 Runoff: May 12, 2026HeldState election office
Ohio (OH)Jon Husted (appointed)RepublicanSpecialMay 5, 2026 HeldState election office
Oklahoma (OK)Alan Armstrong (appointed)RepublicanRegular Class IIJune 16, 2026 Runoff: August 25, 2026HeldState election office
Oregon (OR)Jeff MerkleyDemocraticRegular Class IIMay 19, 2026 HeldState election office
Rhode Island (RI)Jack ReedDemocraticRegular Class IISeptember 9, 2026 HeldState election office
South Carolina (SC)Darline GrahamRepublicanRegular Class IIJune 9, 2026 Runoff: June 23, 2026HeldState election office
South Dakota (SD)Mike RoundsRepublicanRegular Class IIJune 2, 2026 HeldState election office
Tennessee (TN)Bill HagertyRepublicanRegular Class IIAugust 6, 2026 HeldState election office
Texas (TX)John CornynRepublicanRegular Class IIMarch 3, 2026 Runoff: May 26, 2026HeldState election office
Virginia (VA)Mark WarnerDemocraticRegular Class IIAugust 4, 2026 HeldState election office
West Virginia (WV)Shelley Moore CapitoRepublicanRegular Class IIMay 12, 2026 HeldState election office
Wyoming (WY)Cynthia LummisRepublicanRegular Class IIAugust 18, 2026 HeldState election office

Frequently Asked Questions

How many seats are needed to control the Senate?

51 of 100. A 50-50 Senate is controlled by the party of the Vice President, who breaks tied votes.

How many Senate seats are up in 2026?

35: the 33 regular Class 2 seats last contested in 2020, plus special elections in Florida and Ohio for the seats Marco Rubio and JD Vance left to join the administration. Republicans are defending 22 of the 35 and the Democrats 13, which is why the Republicans have more ways to lose ground than to gain it.

Where can I find official nominee lists for 2026 Senate races?

The tracker below lists all 35 seats, current officeholders, primary dates and official state election offices. Follow each state link for certified nominees, results and candidate changes.

What do the ratings mean, and who makes them?

They describe how safe a seat looks, from Safe through Likely, Lean and Tilt to Toss-Up, and they follow Sabato’s Crystal Ball rather than being produced here. They are a judgement about a race, not a probability, which is why no percentage is attached to them.

Why is there no market percentage for each race?

Because none exists to quote. Polymarket runs a market on which party controls the Senate, shown above, but no markets on the individual 2026 Senate races. Rather than fill the gap with a number of our own, the page leaves it out.

Can I build my own Senate map?

Yes. Open the full interactive map, assign each seat, and use the Share button for a link or embed code.

Sources and methodology

The map is a scenario builder, not a forecast. It covers 33 regular Class II Senate seats and the Florida and Ohio special elections. The race table is a selected group of contests; ratings are Sabato’s Crystal Ball assessments, not probabilities. Polymarket prices Senate control, but does not offer a market for each state race.

Source references reviewed . Live market panels show their own read time; check state election offices for certified candidate lists and results.

Race ratings follow Sabato’s Crystal Ball and are editorial judgements, not probabilities. The control percentages are live Polymarket prices carrying the time they were read. Neither is a forecast produced by this site.