Pennsylvania
19 EV
2024: Trump +1.71
The biggest prize of the seven, and the one the blue-wall route to 270 cannot do without.
Interactive Electoral College
2028 Presidential Election
The Republicans start this cycle defending 312 electoral votes. Click states in the map to move them and see who gets to 270 first, either from the 2024 result or from an empty board.
312
Trump (R)
226
Harris (D)
The certified 2024 result, not a 2028 projection.
Build Your 2028 Map
Switch the starting point and click states inside the map.
The Seven Battlegrounds
Trump carried all seven in 2024. Each card shows that margin.
270 needed to win
Michigan
15 EV
2024: Trump +1.42
Second-narrowest state in the country in 2024.
Wisconsin
10 EV
2024: Trump +0.86
The closest state anywhere in 2024 — under a single point.
Georgia
16 EV
2024: Trump +2.19
Flipped back to the Republicans after going Democratic in 2020.
Arizona
11 EV
2024: Trump +5.53
The widest of the seven, so the hardest of the set to win back.
Nevada
6 EV
2024: Trump +3.10
Republican for the first time since 2004.
North Carolina
16 EV
2024: Trump +3.21
The only one of the seven no Democrat has carried since 2008.
Margins are the difference in vote share from the certified 2024 returns, as compiled on Wikipedia's results-by-state table, which cites each state's own election authority.
Who The Market Backs
Chance of taking office, priced on Polymarket. Read 6 Aug 2026, 11:24 UTC.
Republican
JD Vance
21.5%
Republican
Marco Rubio
13.2%
Democratic
Gavin Newsom
11.6%
Democratic
Jon Ossoff
9.7%
Democratic
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9.2%
Democratic
Kamala Harris
4.3%