Election control
Election Forecast Tools & Control Scenarios
Use the interactive maps to test paths to control. The 2026 bars show current officeholder balances, and the 2028 presidential map starts from the official 2024 result. These starting points are not forecasts or win probabilities. Current rosters were reviewed .
President map scenario
No 2028 presidential forecast is published here. Use the map to explore hypothetical paths from the most recent certified result.
The official 2024 Electoral College result is the starting point for the 2028 map.
2024 Electoral College result: 226 Democratic and 312 Republican electoral votes.
A candidate needs 270 of 538 electoral votes to win.
Senate map scenario
The balance combines 45 Democrats and two independents who caucus with them, against 53 Republicans. The interactive map lets you test the 2026 races.
Current Senate roster reviewed September 26, 2026.
35 seats are on the 2026 ballot: 33 regular Class II seats and two special elections.
A party generally needs 51 seats, or 50 with the vice president able to break ties.
House map scenario
The Clerk lists 218 Republicans, 214 Democrats, one independent, and two vacancies. The map covers all 435 districts and can be assigned to explore possible outcomes.
House Clerk member and vacancy records reviewed September 26, 2026.
All 435 voting House seats are up in the 2026 general election.
With all 435 seats filled, a party needs 218 seats for a majority.
Governor map scenario
Twenty-four states have Democratic governors and 26 have Republican governors. Democrats need a net gain of two states to reach a majority.
Current governor roster reviewed September 26, 2026.
Thirty-six of the 50 states elect a governor in 2026.
A party needs 26 of the 50 state governorships for a majority.