Election News
Where the markets moved
Every race we track, ranked by how far its price shifted over the last 30 days. The rest of this site shows where each race stands; this is the part that changed.
Prices read 24 Sep 2026, 03:36 UTC.
Texas governor moved 13.0 points toward the Democrats
The Democratic contract went from 12.5% to 25.5%.
20 races repriced
Moves of at least 1 point. 15 other races held steady.
- +13.0Texas governorDemocratic contract 12.5% → 25.5% · toward the Democrats
- +11.0Ohio governorDemocratic contract 50.5% → 61.5% · toward the Democrats
- +9.5Iowa governorDemocratic contract 73.5% → 83% · toward the Democrats
- +9.5Nevada governorDemocratic contract 41% → 50.5% · toward the Democrats
- +9.02028 presidencyDemocratic contract 57.5% → 66.5% · toward the Democrats
- +8.5Florida governorDemocratic contract 19% → 27.5% · toward the Democrats
- −7.5New Hampshire governorDemocratic contract 17.1% → 9.6% · toward the Republicans
- −6.4Vermont governorDemocratic contract 12.5% → 6.1% · toward the Republicans
- −4.5Georgia governorDemocratic contract 60% → 55.5% · toward the Republicans
- −4.5Kansas governorDemocratic contract 34% → 29.5% · toward the Republicans
- +4.0Wisconsin governorDemocratic contract 80.5% → 84.5% · toward the Democrats
- +3.0New Mexico governorDemocratic contract 92.5% → 95.5% · toward the Democrats
- +3.0Oklahoma governorDemocratic contract 4.5% → 7.5% · toward the Democrats
- +2.0Illinois governorDemocratic contract 95.7% → 97.7% · toward the Democrats
- +2.0Michigan governorDemocratic contract 90.5% → 92.5% · toward the Democrats
- −1.2South Carolina governorDemocratic contract 6.2% → 5% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Arizona governorDemocratic contract 87.5% → 88.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Minnesota governorDemocratic contract 94.5% → 95.5% · toward the Democrats
- −1.0Nebraska governorDemocratic contract 7.5% → 6.5% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Pennsylvania governorDemocratic contract 95.5% → 96.5% · toward the Democrats
How this is built
Each race is tracked through its Democratic contract on Polymarket. The number is that contract’s price now minus its price at the start of the window, in percentage points, so a positive figure means the market moved toward the Democrats and a negative one toward the Republicans.
One side is quoted rather than both on purpose. The two parties trade as separate contracts, so combining them into a single margin would produce a number neither of them states. The sign carries the direction instead.
Nothing here is written or forecast. It is two prices and a subtraction, refreshed from Polymarket rather than stored, so it is current whenever you load it.