Election News
Where the markets moved
Every race we track, ranked by how far its price shifted over the last 7 days. The rest of this site shows where each race stands; this is the part that changed.
Prices read 7 Aug 2026, 13:01 UTC.
Wisconsin governor moved 14.5 points toward the Republicans
The Democratic contract went from 56% to 41.5%.
12 races repriced
Moves of at least 1 point. 23 other races held steady.
- −14.5Wisconsin governorDemocratic contract 56% → 41.5% · toward the Republicans
- −6.9New Hampshire governorDemocratic contract 21.9% → 15% · toward the Republicans
- +5.0Arizona governorDemocratic contract 79% → 84% · toward the Democrats
- −5.0Nevada governorDemocratic contract 57% → 52% · toward the Republicans
- −3.4Tennessee governorDemocratic contract 8.3% → 4.9% · toward the Republicans
- −2.0Kansas governorDemocratic contract 24.5% → 22.5% · toward the Republicans
- −1.5Texas governorDemocratic contract 14.5% → 13% · toward the Republicans
- −1.0Florida governorDemocratic contract 17% → 16% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Georgia governorDemocratic contract 58.5% → 59.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0New Mexico governorDemocratic contract 89% → 90% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Oregon governorDemocratic contract 85% → 86% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Vermont governorDemocratic contract 9.7% → 10.7% · toward the Democrats
How this is built
Each race is tracked through its Democratic contract on Polymarket. The number is that contract’s price now minus its price at the start of the window, in percentage points, so a positive figure means the market moved toward the Democrats and a negative one toward the Republicans.
One side is quoted rather than both on purpose. The two parties trade as separate contracts, so combining them into a single margin would produce a number neither of them states. The sign carries the direction instead.
Nothing here is written or forecast. It is two prices and a subtraction, refreshed from Polymarket rather than stored, so it is current whenever you load it.