Election News
Where the markets moved
Every race we track, ranked by how far its price shifted over the last 7 days. The rest of this site shows where each race stands; this is the part that changed.
Prices read 25 Sep 2026, 05:13 UTC.
Vermont governor moved 10.2 points toward the Democrats
The Democratic contract went from 7.3% to 17.5%.
17 races repriced
Moves of at least 1 point. 18 other races held steady.
- +10.2Vermont governorDemocratic contract 7.3% → 17.5% · toward the Democrats
- +8.0Ohio governorDemocratic contract 54.5% → 62.5% · toward the Democrats
- +5.5Iowa governorDemocratic contract 76.5% → 82% · toward the Democrats
- −5.0Kansas governorDemocratic contract 32.5% → 27.5% · toward the Republicans
- +3.5Nevada governorDemocratic contract 45.5% → 49% · toward the Democrats
- +3.02028 presidencyDemocratic contract 63.5% → 66.5% · toward the Democrats
- +3.0New Mexico governorDemocratic contract 92.5% → 95.5% · toward the Democrats
- +3.0Texas governorDemocratic contract 22.5% → 25.5% · toward the Democrats
- +2.0Florida governorDemocratic contract 20.5% → 22.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.5New York governorDemocratic contract 93.5% → 95% · toward the Democrats
- +1.5Wisconsin governorDemocratic contract 83.5% → 85% · toward the Democrats
- −1.1South Carolina governorDemocratic contract 5.8% → 4.7% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Arizona governorDemocratic contract 87.5% → 88.5% · toward the Democrats
- −1.0Georgia governorDemocratic contract 56.5% → 55.5% · toward the Republicans
- +1.0Michigan governorDemocratic contract 91.5% → 92.5% · toward the Democrats
- +1.0Oregon governorDemocratic contract 85.5% → 86.5% · toward the Democrats
- −1.0South Dakota governorDemocratic contract 4.5% → 3.5% · toward the Republicans
How this is built
Each race is tracked through its Democratic contract on Polymarket. The number is that contract’s price now minus its price at the start of the window, in percentage points, so a positive figure means the market moved toward the Democrats and a negative one toward the Republicans.
One side is quoted rather than both on purpose. The two parties trade as separate contracts, so combining them into a single margin would produce a number neither of them states. The sign carries the direction instead.
Nothing here is written or forecast. It is two prices and a subtraction, refreshed from Polymarket rather than stored, so it is current whenever you load it.